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SAG Award Winners Revealed, Oscar Predicting Hits Full Steam
by Alex Vo | January 30, 2007
Blog Article | Discuss Article
Known as a big predictor of what'll go down Oscar night, the Screen Actors Guild Awards ceremony took place last Sunday to a rapturous Hollywood crowd without a hitch (or surprises or upsets). Check out the full winners list below, along with analysis on how the SAG results affect the Oscar nominees' chances.



The SAG Awards frequently mirror Oscar nominations and wins. And this year, they're more similar than in recent memory. Of the 25 Acting and Best Picture nominations, the SAG and Oscar disagree only twice: the SAG reserved a Supporting Actor nom spot for Leonardo DiCaprio, while the Academy has eyes for Mark Wahlberg (both for "The Departed"). And in the Best Picture category, the SAG had "Bobby" whereas the Oscars have "Letters from Iwo Jima."

"There appears to be a developing unanimity about the year's best actors," writes Hollywood Reporter's Gregg Kilday. Indeed, who doubted that Forest Whitaker (Male Actor winner for "The Last King of Scotland"), Jennifer Hudson (the Supporting Female Actor winner for "Dreamgirls"), or Helen Mirren (Outstanding Female Actor for "The Queen") wouldn't be going home empty-handed? They've dominated all the other awards shows prior to the SAG Awards.


"The Queen": Helen Mirren phones it in.

However, it's hard to say that "Dreamgirls'" Eddie Murphy, who took home the Outstanding Supporting Male Actor award, is guaranteed the same Oscar reward. According to OscarWatch, every actor nominated for the Supporting Actor Oscar have won roughly the same number of awards as he has.

The same can be said for the Best Picture Oscar. "Little Miss Sunshine" won Best Ensemble Acting (the SAG's Best Picture equivalent), but the other Best Picture Oscar nominees have just about the same number of accolades. And "Little Miss Sunshine's" directors snub from the Academy can be another problem. Risky Biz Blog points out that only twice has a Best Picture winner not also have its director(s) nominated (1932's "Grand Hotel" and 1989's "Driving Miss Daisy").


Eddie Murphy is SAGacious in "Dreamgirls."

Kilday also notes that "no one film has dominated the best picture race this awards season." Oscar nominess "The Departed," "Babel," "Little Miss Sunshine," and "The Queen" have all been accumulating accolades at about the same rate. "Letters From Iwo Jima", however, lags far behind.


The cast surveys the scene in "Little Miss Sunshine."

And in the case of "Little Miss Sunshine," it can also be said that comedies almost never win the Best Picture. Then again, stranger things have happened. Remember when a neurotic little dude single-handedly took down the Death Star?

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

"Little Miss Sunshine"

"Babel"
"Bobby"
"The Departed"
"The Queen"

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Forest Whitaker for "The Last King of Scotland"

Leonardo DiCaprio for "Blood Diamond"
Ryan Gosling for "Half-Nelson"
Peter O'Toole for "Venus"
Will Smith for "Pursuit of Happyness"

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Helen Mirren for "The Queen"

Penelope Cruz for "Volver"
Judi Dench for "Notes on a Scandal"
Meryl Streep for "The Devil Wears Prada"
Kate Winslet for "Little Children"

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Eddie Murphy for "Dreamgirls"

Alan Arkin for "Little Miss Sunshine"
Leonardo DiCaprio for "The Departed"
Jackie Earle Haley for "Little Children"
Djimon Hounsou for "Blood Diamond"

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Jennifer Hudson for "Dreamgirls"

Adriana Barraza for "Babel"
Cate Blanchett for "Notes on a Scandal"
Abigail Breslin for "Little Miss Sunshine"
Rinko Kikuchi for "Babel"

Related Items
Movie: The Devil Wears Prada
Letters From Iwo Jima
Venus
The Last King of Scotland
The Queen
Bobby
The Pursuit of Happyness
Dreamgirls
Little Children
Notes on a Scandal
Babel
The Departed
Half Nelson
Volver
Awards Tour 2006
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Comments (1-7 of 7 posts) | Reply
mojodaddy writes:
on Jan 30 2007 08:14 PM

Is it really necessary to put "male actor"? Maybe I'm just being difficult...

(Reply to this)
Alex Vo writes:
on Jan 30 2007 08:52 PM

Political correctoids have ruled that 'actress' is sexist and anachronistic.

(Reply to this)
301173
medicineman writes:
on Jan 31 2007 08:55 AM

While Forest Whitake deserves to win, I think they'll give the award to Peter O'toole. Like Scorcese, he has been overlooked far too many times for roles he should have won. This is the Academy's chance to make amends and finally honor both Scorcese and O'toole and I'll be surprised if they don't.

(Reply to this)
unbreakable_samurai writes:
on Jan 31 2007 10:28 AM

I was supprised that Little Miss Sunshine won, besides that everything on the movie side was predictible.

(Reply to this)
jukeboxhero6660 writes:
on Jan 31 2007 11:43 AM

In reply to this comment (#854425)
thats what i have been saying, i thought whitaker would win but when the noms came out and i saw OToole i knew that they had to make up for the times the screwed up in the past. and i would love to see sunshine win, favorite movie of last year.

(Reply to this)
385356
wordweaver writes:
on Jan 31 2007 11:46 AM

I was also surprised when little miss sunshine won.Personally, i don't think they deserved it.I just hope scorcese emerges victorious at the oscars. If those snobs give it to clint again, i'm going to explode. My best pic choice at the oscars is babel. They have been snubbed at all other awards( brad pitt, rinko kikuchi, adriana barraza etc.) so it will so much fun to see them win best picture for an artistic and truly ground-breaking movie. Hope eddie wins, its about time.

(Reply to this)
249223
southfrisco writes:
on Jan 31 2007 07:19 PM

Don't count on it. I fully expect Whitaker to take it. He has won most of the major actor awards this award season. O'Toole will be runner up. Remember the supporting roles are usually up for grabs and while I think Jennifer has the lead (I don't really think she deserves an oscar though) I would not be surprised to see Eddie lose in the oscar race.

(Reply to this)
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